This is the website of Abulsme Noibatno Itramne (also known as Sam Minter). Comments here or emails to me at abulsme@abulsme.com are encouraged... or follow me on Twitter as @abulsme.

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2008 vs 2012 after NY/PA/CT/RI/DE

Not much to say here.  The small gap between Romney’s rate of accumulating delegates compared to McCain’s in 2008 has completely closed.  It is absolutely clear that any differences in perception on how fast Romney was “closing the deal” vs McCain were 100% due to the elongated calendar.  When you look at things by % of delegates accumulated vs % of delegates allocated, the two years track each other very closely.  In the early days of the campaign (before about 20% of the delegates) Romney was actually a bit ahead of McCain’s pace.  From there though 50% or so, Romney was slightly behind McCain’s pace.  The key word being slightly.  And now they once again very closely match.

So that whole narrative about Romney not matching McCain’s performance in 2008…  just completely not true in terms of the delegate races.  It just seemed that way because everything happened in a comparatively compressed timeframe in 2008.

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