This is the website of Abulsme Noibatno Itramne (also known as Sam Minter). Posts here are rare these days. For current stuff, follow me on Mastodon



Electoral College: Montana back to Strong Romney

Map from the 2012 Electoral College Prediction page. This map reflects Obama vs Romney. If any other candidate takes the lead in the Republican delegate race we’ll switch to making maps for them.

For a short time Romney’s last five poll average had dropped to less than a 10% lead in Montana, but the latest poll pushes that average back over 10%, so we color the state bright red again. Since either way Montana is not close to being a swing state (although the margin was only 2.3% in the 2008 election!) this does’t effect the overall summary of the race.

Romney Obama
Romney Best Case 291 247
Current Status 210 328
Obama Best Case 159 379

This does represent the first state to move in Romney’s direction in a couple of weeks, which can be seen in our trend chart:

Chart from the 2012 Electoral College Prediction page.

Leave a Reply

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.