Map from the Abulsme.com 2012 Electoral College Prediction page. This map reflects Obama vs Romney. If any other candidate takes the lead in the Republican delegate race we’ll switch to making maps for them.
For a short time Romney’s last five poll average had dropped to less than a 10% lead in Montana, but the latest poll pushes that average back over 10%, so we color the state bright red again. Since either way Montana is not close to being a swing state (although the margin was only 2.3% in the 2008 election!) this does’t effect the overall summary of the race.
|Romney Best Case||291||247|
|Obama Best Case||159||379|
This does represent the first state to move in Romney’s direction in a couple of weeks, which can be seen in our trend chart:
Chart from the Abulsme.com 2012 Electoral College Prediction page.