This is the website of Abulsme Noibatno Itramne (also known as Sam Minter). Posts here are rare these days. For current stuff, follow me on Mastodon



2012 Republican Delegate Count: Oregon

Charts from the 2012 Republican Delegate Count Graphs page. When a candidate gets down to 0%, they have clinched the nomination. If they get above 100%, they have been mathematically eliminated. The first chart is by date, the second is by “% of Delegates Already Allocated”. These numbers include estimates of the eventual results of multi-stage caucus processes which will be refined as the later stages occur.

Today we have results from Oregon. Prior to today we had one superdelegate in Oregon for Romney and 27 TBD. We now have Romney 19, Paul 3, Santorum 2, Gingrich 2, TBD 2. So for the day Romney +18, Paul +3, Santorum +2, Gingrich +2.

Romney got 72.0% of today’s delegates, way more than the 23.0% he needed in order to be on track to clinch the nomination. So the march goes on.

Overall totals at this point: Romney 975, Santorum 260, Gingrich 145, Paul 117, TBD 789

I should also mention that a couple days ago Paul announced he would not be campaigning in the remaining primary states. Contrary to some of the headlines, he did not suspend his campaign like Santorum and Gingrich have. His campaign is still actively working the delegate process in the states where that is possible. He just isn’t dedicating any resources to trying to win votes in the remaining states where he has no chance of winning. Any efforts are concentrated on the actual process of delegate selection, which has basically been his strategy all along. Effectively though, by the nature of the memo the campaign put out, regardless of what was intended, the effect is that what little attention was still being given to him now fades away too. Especially since he also essentially promised to “behave” at the convention and not cause trouble.

So we now just wait for Romney to finish collecting the last 169 delegates he needs to win. Next up, Kentucky and Arkansas on the 22nd.

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