This is the website of Abulsme Noibatno Itramne (also known as Sam Minter). Posts here are rare these days. For current stuff, follow me on Mastodon



So Wrong, So Very Very Wrong…

And wrong in so so many ways… But it made me laugh…

(via Andrew Sullivan)

A Super Switch and Finally Republican Updates

First of all, one superdelegate from Virginia switches from Clinton to Obama today.

So, new stats:

The new delegate count is: Obama 1846, Clinton 1685, Edwards 19

In percent terms that is: Obama 52.0%, Clinton 47.5%, Edwards 0.5%

2025 delegates are needed to win.

There are 498 delegates yet to be determined.

Obama needs 179 more delegates to win.

Clinton needs 340 more delegates to win.

In percentage terms, that means:

Obama needs 35.9% of the remaining delegates to win. (It was 41.1% before IN/NC.)

Clinton needs 68.3% of the remaining delegates to win. (It was 62.0% before IN/NC.)

More exciting though is that CNN finally updated their Republican numbers with new updates from American Samoa, Guam, Hawaii, Idaho, Indiana, Kentucky, North Carolina, the Northern Marianas, Oregon, Pennsylvania, Puerto Rico, South Dakota and the Virgin Islands.

Now, not all of the results from all of those places are actually complete yet. For instance, they still only have 2 delegates listed from Pennsylvania. But at least they are finally making some updates and getting caught up.

Net result of all these changes: McCain gains 78 delegates, Huckabee gets 8 delegates, and Paul gets 4.

The new delegate count is: McCain 1409, Huckabee 275, Romney 255, Paul 26

In percent terms that is: McCain 71.7%, Huckabee 14.0%, Romney 13.0%, Paul 1.3%

Of course, McCain long ago passed his magic number to clinch the nomination. So the chart above is just the raw number of delegates everyone has, rather than the Percent of Remaining needed to win that I have been using for the democrats lately. On the wiki page you get by clicking through on the chart though, I do have that graph as well.

And while the actual result won’t change of course (absent McCain suddenly deciding he doesn’t want the nomination after all, a major McCain scandal, or McCain death or disability) it is still interesting to see Huckabee and Paul continuing to get a smattering of delegates none the less.