This is the website of Abulsme Noibatno Itramne (also known as Sam Minter). Posts here are rare these days. For current stuff, follow me on Mastodon



Curmudgeon’s Corner: Cyclones, Racists and More!

Sam and Ivan talk about:

  • Burmese Cyclone
  • Guantanamo Ruling
  • iPhones, Laptops and Desktops
  • Food and Drink with Racists
  • Close General Election
  • Democratic Primary Roundup
  • McCain’s Lifespan

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One Little Superdelegate

Just one new superdelegate today. An Obama superdelegate. The significance this time is that according to CNN’s count (this happened with other people’s counts a few days ago) Obama and Clinton both have 273 superdelegates. So Obama has now, for the first time, caught up with Clinton in superdelegates. This was the last metric in which she was undeniably ahead. No more.

Updated stats:

The new delegate count is: Obama 1865, Clinton 1697, Edwards 19

In percent terms that is: Obama 52.1%, Clinton 47.4%, Edwards 0.5%

2025 delegates are needed to win.

There are 467 delegates yet to be determined.

Obama needs 160 more delegates to win.

Clinton needs 328 more delegates to win.

In percentage terms, that means:

Obama needs 34.3% of the remaining delegates to win. (It was 41.1% before IN/NC.)

Clinton needs 70.2% of the remaining delegates to win. (It was 62.0% before IN/NC.)