This is the website of Abulsme Noibatno Itramne (also known as Sam Minter). Posts here are rare these days. For current stuff, follow me on Mastodon



KY/OR Predictions

OK, as I’ve done before the last few primaries, I’ll make a prediction for the results from today’s primaries based on the latest poll averages. I won’t bother splitting it up by the two states, because only the total delegate count really matters.

There are 103 delegates at stake in today’s primaries.

My prediction… 58 for Clinton, 45 for Obama.

That will be 56.3% of the delegates for Clinton, which is of course well short of the 74.4% she would need to get to be on a pace to catch up and win.

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