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More Delegates, More Delegates

Six more supers today. Five for Obama, One for Clinton.

New stats:

Delegate count is: Obama 1974, Clinton 1780, Edwards 7

In percent terms that is: Obama 52.5%, Clinton 47.3%, Edwards 0.2%

2026 delegates are needed to win.

There are 289 delegates yet to be determined.

Obama needs 52 more delegates to win.

Clinton needs 246 more delegates to win.

In percentage terms, that means:

Obama needs 18.0% of the remaining delegates to win. (It was 28.3% before KY/OR.)

Clinton needs 85.1% of the remaining delegates to win. (It was 74.4% before KY/OR.)

As a note of interest, based on the latest polls in Puerto Rico, Montana and South Dakota, I expect Obama will pick up about 40 delegates in those primaries. That would putt him potentially only 12 delegates away from the win if that were to happen.

That assumes of course no Florida and Michigan. But conventional wisdom at this point is that there will be some seating of Florida and Michigan this weekend, pushing the magic number further out and therefore putting Obama a bit further away from the win… although still a lot closer than Clinton.

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