This is the website of Abulsme Noibatno Itramne (also known as Sam Minter). Comments here or emails to me at are encouraged... or follow me on Twitter as @abulsme.



Delegates While Waiting for RBC

A few more superdelegates today. 3 for Obama, 1 for Clinton.

Updated stats:

Delegate count is: Obama 1984, Clinton 1783, Edwards 7

In percent terms that is: Obama 52.6%, Clinton 47.2%, Edwards 0.2%

2026 delegates are needed to win.

There are 276 delegates yet to be determined.

Obama needs 42 more delegates to win.

Clinton needs 243 more delegates to win.

In percentage terms, that means:

Obama needs 15.2% of the remaining delegates to win. (It was 28.3% before KY/OR.)

Clinton needs 88.0% of the remaining delegates to win. (It was 74.4% before KY/OR.)

Of course, as I type these words, the Rules and Bylaws Committee of the DNC is meeting to decide what to do with Florida and Michigan. Based on conversation so far, it seems clear that these states will be seated in some way or another, and the finish line will be moved back some. The question is just how much.

My charts, graphs and numbers will reflect any changes made by the RBC as soon as CNN’s Summary Page reflects the changes, which hopefully will be almost immediate after the RBC makes their decisions.

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