This is the website of Abulsme Noibatno Itramne (also known as Sam Minter). Posts here are rare these days. For current stuff, follow me on Mastodon



Analysis of a Tie

A very detailed analysis on the odds of an electoral college tie, and what would happen if that happened…

Like Kissing Your Sister

Since we got some good discussion started in the polling thread about the possibility of a 269-269 electoral tie, I thought I’d run some numbers on it.

The simulation returned a tie 63 times out of 10,000 trials (0.63%). These 63 ties involved 56 distinct scenarios for producing that tie. The only scenarios to occur more than once were as follows:

(via Irish Trojan)

By the way, this is my first visit to Looks live a valuable resource. Subscription added.

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